Houston Texans prop bets 2022: Predictions for Davis Mills and Brandin Cooks

If you’re planning to make Houston Texans prop bets or any other wagers on season-long NFL player production, here are our suggested 2022 bets for two of the their playmakers. All prop bets are based on FanDuel over/unders, featuring Davis Mills and Brandin Cooks.

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Top Houston Texans prop bets for 2022

The following NFL betting recommendations are based on 10 years of NFL research analyzing the correlation between preseason expectations and outcomes. Age, durability, shifting personnel, schedule, and other factors help shape these assessments.

Davis Mills

I have to admit, I had very low hopes for Davis Mills when the Texans drafted him in the third round last season. It’s hard enough for a franchise QB to spend a rookie campaign playing on a team going nowhere (just ask Trevor Lawrence). It’s even harder when that QB’s future standing with the club hinges on performing well. Mills seems destined to fail on a team that was destined to fail.

And for a while, it sure looked that way. He had six touchdowns and seven interceptions in his first six starts. But he closed the season with eight TDs and only two picks, while altogether, he amassed 206 yards on the ground. The preseason loss of John Metchie hurts, although Nico Collins should be able to step up as a solid No. 1 behind Brandin Cooks.

Mills was on a 17-game pace for 3,484 passing yards and 21 scores. Not surprisingly, his prop lines are almost identical. So the key question bettors should ask is, will Mills improve? I believe he has almost nowhere to go but up, meaning he should exceed market expectations.

Passing yards: Over 3,450
Passing TDs: Over 20.5
Passing INTs: Under 14.5

Brandin Cooks

Can Brandin Cooks keep the good times going? The 28-year-old has cracked 1,000 yards in six of his last seven campaigns. That’s nothing to sneeze at or even fake-sneeze at. Oh, and he’s done it on four different teams. Honestly, has any other receiver done that? (I just looked it up. Reportedly, Brandon Marshall is the only other receiver to have done it.)

So now that that’s out of the way, let’s open the “What have you done for us lately?” box. Cooks proved last year he could come close to dominating despite catching balls thrown by a rookie who wasn’t even expected to be the weekly starter a few months earlier. There are no sensible reasons to believe Mills will suddenly favor Collins. Cooks has a great shot at recording 1,000+ receiving yards seven times in eight years.

Receiving yards: Over 950.5
Receiving TDs: Over 5.5

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