Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction, Pick: Who wins on Thursday Night Football tonight?

Patrick Mahomes vs. Justin Herbert on a Thursday night? Yes, please. This has all the makings to be the best Thursday Night Football game we’ll see all season, as the two young stars and their talented rosters go head to head under the lights. Let’s take a look at the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers Week 15 matchup, the NFL odds, and make a pick and prediction.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers pick, prediction | Week 15

  • Spread: Chiefs -4 (Odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook)
  • Moneyline: Chiefs -195, Chargers +165
  • Over/Under: 50.5

The Chiefs’ dominant win over the Raiders puts them on a six-game winning streak. Their offense is warming up, and the return of running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire is certainly a boost. Mahomes averaged more than 10 yards per attempt for the second time this season despite attempting only 24 passes all day — his lowest total of the year.

With the defense playing so well, causing turnovers, short-field situations, and scoring points of their own, there is less pressure on Mahomes than ever. He’s able to manage games a lot easier and isn’t being forced to produce heroics in order for his team to win. The worry for the rest of the league is, are the Chiefs putting it all together just in time for the playoffs?

Herbert had another outstanding day against the New York Giants, throwing for 275 yards and 3 touchdowns. While it might be a short week and a quick turnaround to play Thursday night, there’s a lot on the line for both teams. The Chargers are 8-5 and only one game behind the Chiefs in the division. A win on Thursday would not only draw them level but also give them the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Chiefs should it come into play.

Chiefs vs. Chargers betting trends

The Chiefs have won their last four against the spread, fighting off spreads of -8.5, and -10 against the Raiders this past weekend. They’ve scored 40+ points twice in those four games, both against Las Vegas. The Chiefs are 6-7 ATS for the season and on over/unders as well. With their defense shutting opponents down, and the offense not scoring as many points as we’re used to, the Chiefs have been a dangerous bet for overs all season.

As for the Chargers, their two important wins in the last two weeks both covered the spread, and the over. The Bolts will be looking to stay hot now as they head into a playoff spot, and that means keep scoring. Herbert and the Chargers have scored 37+ points in three of their last four games. Yet, now facing a stout Chiefs defense, it’ll be interesting to see who wins that match up on the field this Thursday.

Chiefs vs. Chargers prediction

I like the Chargers in this one. While the Chiefs’ defense is playing some excellent football, the Chargers’ offense is one of the most well put together in the NFL. If the Chargers can score 30+ points, I think they’ll win the game.

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The match-up has a high-scoring, shootout feel to it. And honestly, as neutral fans, that’s what we’re hoping for. A chance to see Herbert, Mahomes, and all their weapons put on a display on Thursday night. I’ll take the over for the game. Even if the Chargers don’t win, the four-point bonus with the spread is a must for me.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction: Chargers 34, Chiefs 31

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